Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
14º
11º
33
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 7% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 75% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veres Rivne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 2
INH
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
FCV
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
LIV
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
FCV
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MET
0 - 4
FCV
36%
24%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 0
OBO
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
SHA
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 2
KPT
62%
21%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
4 - 3
SHA
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |