FC Verden 04 vs Ahlerstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Verden 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
THA
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VER
6 - 3
SEL
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MEC
2 - 0
VER
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VER
8 - 0
MTV
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BWB
3 - 1
VER
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
THA
3 - 0
AHO
62%
20%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 0
AHO
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MEC
2 - 1
AHO
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MTV
0 - 1
AHO
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
AHO
2 - 0
MTL
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |