FC Vaduz vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
9º
4º
5
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 37 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 28 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 28 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 26 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 26 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 23 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 22 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 17 |
10º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 2
STP
33%
25%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
THU
2 - 0
FCV
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
STP
3 - 1
FCV
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 0
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 1
STG
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
WIL
28%
25%
46%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 3
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
ASV
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 5
WIL
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |