FC Vaduz vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCV
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
FCV
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
SCB
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ETO
0 - 4
FCV
19%
21%
60%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCV
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEL
0 - 1
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
KRI
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
ETO
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCB
3 - 4
LUG
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |