FC Vaduz vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 3
FCV
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MEY
2 - 3
FCV
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SIO
4 - 1
FCV
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LAC
0 - 0
FCV
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
FCV
2 - 4
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAD
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 2
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 2
YOB
17%
22%
62%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |