FC Vaduz vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
3 - 2
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCV
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCV
3 - 2
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
FCV
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCV
3 - 1
ETO
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 4
BEL
34%
23%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 2
LOC
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 0
LOC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |