Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
FC Vaduz vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCV
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCV
53%
23%
25%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
FCV
1 - 1
HOH
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 1
FCV
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
FCV
5 - 2
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
HEB
0 - 4
LSO
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
LSO
4 - 1
CVA
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VER
0 - 2
LSO
27%
30%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
LSO
2 - 3
CSK
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 2
LSO
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |