FC Vaduz vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
9º
3º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 1
FCV
61%
19%
20%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 0
FCV
23%
23%
55%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCV
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 4
FCV
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCV
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
41%
24%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIN
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |