Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-1
FC Vaduz vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 0
FCV
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCV
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 5
SIO
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 1
ESC
91%
7%
2%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCV
69%
18%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 0
FCV
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
FAL
0 - 1
GLA
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ICT
0 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FAL
0 - 2
STM
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 1
FAL
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |