FC Vaduz vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
9º
2º
11
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 40 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 28 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 26 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 25 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 25 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 19 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
10º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 13
FCV
3%
7%
91%
|
69 | 11 | 58 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCL
21%
22%
58%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCV
31%
24%
44%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 1
STA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCV
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
BEL
4%
12%
84%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCH
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRI
1 - 2
BEL
21%
21%
58%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |