Q. Europa League Play-off Final
Global 1-2
Utrecht vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ADO
0 - 3
UTR
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
LPO
2 - 2
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 0
LPO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
MEP
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ZEN
4 - 0
TER
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
URA
1 - 1
ZEN
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ZEN
5 - 1
SPA
42%
24%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
ZEN
0 - 1
BNE
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TOS
0 - 1
ZEN
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |