Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BOS
2 - 0
UTR
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
HFC
1 - 2
UTR
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
UTR
3 - 0
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
PSV
3 - 0
UTR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
5 - 1
VOL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
RKC
2 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
3 - 4
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
0 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
MVV
2 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |