Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
BOS
1 - 0
UTR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
UTR
0 - 0
VVV
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
VOL
4 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
UTR
3 - 1
FEY
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
MVV
0 - 2
UTR
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 3
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
HFC
2 - 2
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
RKC
3 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |