Europa League 1/32
Global 4-1
Utrecht vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
ADO
0 - 0
UTR
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
SPA
2 - 1
UTR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
STR
0 - 1
UTR
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
FOR
2 - 2
UTR
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
RAP
2 - 2
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
STR
0 - 1
UTR
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
LIN
2 - 1
STR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
STR
2 - 1
LIN
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |