Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ADO
0 - 3
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
HFC
3 - 0
UTR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
3 - 2
AZA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
UTR
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
1 - 2
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 3
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 0
EIN
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |