Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
AJA
5 - 1
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
UTR
2 - 4
TEL
47%
26%
26%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
UTR
2 - 2
EIN
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
MVV
3 - 1
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 2
SPA
28%
29%
44%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
PSV
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
RJC
1 - 0
SPA
34%
27%
38%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 2
ADO
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |