Europa League 1/16
Global 1-4
Utrecht vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 1
FCD
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
VVV
1 - 1
UTR
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
3 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
ADO
0 - 0
UTR
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
67%
18%
15%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 4
RMA
22%
26%
53%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
RMA
1 - 1
SBR
96%
3%
1%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
RMA
3 - 1
SEV
86%
10%
5%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
SBR
1 - 2
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |