Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
UTR
0 - 0
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 1
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
UTR
2 - 2
FEY
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 1
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
RJC
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
SCH
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FEY
5 - 0
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |