Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
VOL
0 - 1
UTR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
FEY
0 - 0
UTR
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1991 |
UTR
4 - 0
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1991 |
UTR
2 - 0
RKC
53%
26%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
TWE
1 - 1
UTR
58%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
NEC
2 - 1
SCH
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1991 |
GRO
2 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
5%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
NEC
1 - 3
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1991 |
FOR
3 - 1
NEC
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |