Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1989 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
UTR
2 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BOS
2 - 0
UTR
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
HFC
1 - 2
UTR
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
NEC
3 - 3
ADO
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
NEC
2 - 2
VOL
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
RKC
3 - 1
NEC
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
14%
23%
62%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |