Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VVV
3 - 0
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
UTR
2 - 2
AMS
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VOL
3 - 3
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
UTR
1 - 1
TEL
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
GAE
2 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
HFC
6 - 0
NEC
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |