Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
GAE
2 - 2
UTR
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
20%
23%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
WAG
1 - 0
UTR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 1
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
NEC
1 - 0
AZA
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 1
NEC
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
NEC
3 - 0
HFC
58%
25%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |