Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RKC
0 - 2
UTR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UTR
4 - 2
VVV
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
UTR
21%
27%
51%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 2
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 3
RJC
41%
26%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 2
NAC
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
HER
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |