Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FEY
0 - 0
UTR
63%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 3
SCH
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 1
RJC
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 3
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
VVV
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
DET
1 - 6
NAC
19%
21%
60%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
RKC
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |