Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
MVV
0 - 3
UTR
36%
27%
36%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
GAE
2 - 3
UTR
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 1
PSV
30%
25%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 5
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
GAE
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
HFC
4 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 1
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
RJC
1 - 0
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |