Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AJA
7 - 0
UTR
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
SPA
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ADO
0 - 3
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
HFC
3 - 0
UTR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
NAC
3 - 1
TWE
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
VVV
1 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
NAC
4 - 1
EIN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |