Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
MVV
1 - 1
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 2
TEL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
NAC
4 - 1
GAE
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
FEY
3 - 1
NAC
86%
10%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 1
RJC
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
AMS
3 - 0
NAC
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
AZA
2 - 4
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |