Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
MVV
2 - 0
UTR
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
6 - 0
UTR
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 4
FEY
27%
21%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 3
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
FEY
3 - 1
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
PSV
5 - 0
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 0
GAE
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |