Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Utrecht vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
MEP
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
UTR
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 1
FKQ
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 1
UFA
60%
24%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
PLO
1 - 0
LPO
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
LPO
2 - 0
HAU
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LPO
0 - 0
SAN
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
HAU
3 - 2
LPO
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
PEL
0 - 3
LPO
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |