Utrecht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 5
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 3
BVO
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 1
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 5
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 1
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
ADO
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GAE
1 - 3
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HER
6 - 2
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +2 |