Utrecht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
VVV
1 - 0
UTR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
UTR
0 - 3
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
UTR
3 - 0
MVV
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 5
FEY
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
GAE
2 - 2
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
RJC
4 - 1
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
HER
2 - 2
NEC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1985 |
GRO
1 - 0
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |