Utrecht vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
2 - 1
AZA
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
UTR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RKC
4 - 0
UTR
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 4
RJC
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VVV
1 - 1
SCH
19%
21%
60%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
RKC
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PSV
5 - 1
SCH
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |