Utrecht vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
PSV
1 - 1
UTR
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 1
VOL
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
RJC
3 - 0
UTR
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1984 |
GAE
3 - 1
UTR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
UTR
3 - 2
BOS
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
GAE
0 - 4
HFC
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
HFC
1 - 0
GRO
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
HFC
2 - 1
BOS
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
EXC
0 - 1
HFC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
HFC
0 - 0
SPA
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |