Utrecht vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
GAE
4 - 2
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
UTR
3 - 1
TEL
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
EIN
1 - 2
UTR
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
TWE
8 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 2
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 1
PSV
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
HFC
3 - 2
EIN
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
AZA
1 - 0
HFC
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
HFC
2 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |