Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
BRU
1 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 1
RJC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
AZA
4 - 0
UTR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 2
DNI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 5
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
RKC
2 - 2
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
RBC
3 - 0
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 2
ADO
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |