Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 1
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
UTR
3 - 0
ZWO
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 0
UTR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 1
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 4
GAE
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
0 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
3 - 3
FEY
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |