Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
UTR
0 - 1
RJC
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
AMS
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 0
UTR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ADO
0 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 3
AZA
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
GAE
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
GAE
0 - 0
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRA
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |