Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
HEL
2 - 2
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
UTR
2 - 2
VOL
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 2
UTR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
9%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
BOS
3 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
FOR
4 - 1
FCD
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
FOR
2 - 0
EXC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
RJC
1 - 2
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 2
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |