Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
UTR
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 5
FEY
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 1
UTR
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ZWO
3 - 1
RJC
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
ZWO
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ZWO
5 - 1
JVC
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VIT
28%
25%
48%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 0
ZWO
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |