Utrecht vs FC Wageningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
38%
27%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
UTR
4 - 2
MVV
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 2
UTR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wageningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
WAG
1 - 0
GAE
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
FEY
8 - 2
WAG
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
WAG
2 - 2
RJC
62%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 1
WAG
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
WAG
2 - 1
TWE
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |