Utrecht vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
8º
6º
8
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 64 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 47 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
4% | 4.5% |
|
Champions League
|
9% | 9.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
16% | 12.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
14% | 20% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 46% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
UTR
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
UTR
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 2
VNZ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TWE
3 - 3
RBS
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
RBS
2 - 1
TWE
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |