Utrecht vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
6 - 0
UTR
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 4
FEY
27%
21%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 3
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 4
FEY
12%
23%
65%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 1
PSV
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 3
FEY
12%
24%
65%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
MVV
2 - 2
GRO
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |