Utrecht vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
JON
2 - 3
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
UTR
4 - 2
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
4 - 2
UTR
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 2
WIL
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
FEY
3 - 0
BOS
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 2
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 1
BOS
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOS
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |