Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRO
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FEY
1 - 1
UTR
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 0
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
UTR
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
GRO
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
RJC
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |