Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 4
UTR
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 1
STB
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
80%
13%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
WKE
0 - 3
EXC
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |