Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
EIN
3 - 3
UTR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
MVV
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 1
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
ADO
32%
31%
37%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 0
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |