Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 1
UTR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
PSV
5 - 1
UTR
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
UTR
1 - 0
BOS
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
GAE
3 - 4
UTR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
TWE
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
8 - 0
EXC
97%
2%
1%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |