Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
RKC
1 - 2
UTR
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 1
BOS
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
JON
2 - 3
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
AZA
2 - 2
WIL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
RJC
0 - 0
AZA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 2
TWE
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 1
AZA
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
AZA
2 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |