Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
GRA
1 - 2
UTR
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
UTR
0 - 1
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
UTR
0 - 1
FOR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
WIL
3 - 0
UTR
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
AZA
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 0
AZA
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 0
AZA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |