Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
BOS
1 - 0
UTR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1988 |
FEY
1 - 3
UTR
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
UTR
2 - 0
HFC
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
ZWO
2 - 2
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1988 |
AZA
2 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
AZA
2 - 1
FCD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
AZA
4 - 1
RJC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |